Perbandingan model Z-score altman dan model Logit Zavgren untuk memprediksi potensi kerugian pada perusahaan manufaktur di Bursa Efek Indonesia

Oleh :
Nuri Handayani - F1206110 - Fak. Ekonomi dan Bisnis

The purpose of the research is: firstly, giving an empirical data of Z-Score Altman model that can be used to predict the potency of financial loss. Secondly, giving an empirical data of Logit Zavgren that can be also used to predict the potency of financial loss. In addition, thirdly, whether exist or not the comparison of Z-Score Altman model and Logit Zavgren model in predicting the potency of financial loss. This research uses the population number of manufacturing business at all which are registered in Indonesian Stock Exchange during the period of 2004 to 2007. It takes a sample and done by method of purposive sampling and it finally results the samples as many as 30 companies. Then it is transformed and the sample is trimmed to be 27 companies. It successfully gets the financial data taken from Indonesian Capital Market Directory during 2006 to 2008. To analyze data, it can use the program of SPSS for Windows the version of 15.0. Then to test the first and the second hypothesis, it can also use analytic instrument of Two Related Sample Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test, meanwhile to test the third hypothesis, it can use the analytic instrument of Two Independent Sample Mann-Whitney Test. The result of research proves that Z-Score Altman model can be used to predict the potency of financial loss. The Logit Zavgren Model can be used to predict the potency of financial loss. However, there is difference between Z-Score Altman model and Logit Zavgren model in predicting the potency of loss financial. Keywords: Z-Score Altman model, Logit Zavgren model, Financial Ratio, Financial Loss, Manufacture.