Hasil penerapan metode Forecast dalam penyusunan anggaran penjualan (Ekspor) pada PT. Batik Hadi Surakarta

Oleh :
Agnes Kharismayanti - F3304003 - Fak. Ekonomi dan Bisnis

ABSTRAK PT. Batik Danar Hadi is a Company which is active in trade of garment, Batik’s trade to be exact. The purpose of this research was to find out how far the company made prediction of the selling, was the selling, approach the realization already or not. As the company’s consideration in choosed and applied the method of selling prediction which is suitable o n PT. Batik Danar Hadi export’s division. The methods that used to gather the data were interview method and observation o ne. The methods that used in the research was statistic method that was Analisis trend (Least Square methods, Moment method, and Square method) with used selling data of 2002-2006. The result of ratio between trend that was made with the realization is used to calculate SKF’s value. SKF’s value is more smaller indicate that the difference between selling prediction and the realization is small. SKF’s value that more smaller is good. The result from the company’s research in bring out activity which arrange the budget, o ne of them is selling budged. The selling as the basis in budged arrangement for another selling in the company. Selling budged arrangement in PT. Batik Danar Hadi Export division used kwalitatif’s approach. In this research the selling budget is arranged based o n kwalitatif approach, use the trend analysis statistic method. The result of trend equation with used trend least square method is Y= 7.797.095.212 + 561.784.426(X), with used trend moment method the trend’s equation is Y=6.673.528.360 + 561.784.426(X), and trend square method the trend’s equation is Y= 10.507.043.854 + 561.784.426(X) + 1.354.973.321(X2). The best method that used was trend least square method and trend moment method. This is proofed based o n SKF (Standar Kesalahan Forecastung) calculating. The value from trend least square method and moment method is very small from another methods is 3.204.858.122 so more approach with selling realization in Export division PT. Batik Danar Hadi